忘掉「輝煌七巨頭」股票,Gary Black稱這家科技巨頭更便宜

AI速讀
Future Fund 合夥人 Gary Black 近期提出「輝煌八巨頭」(Mag 8)概念,將博通(AVGO)納入科技龍頭之列。Black 分析指出,博通在季報後股價回調,使其估值相較於原有的輝煌七巨頭更具吸引力,特別是在 2026 年的預期 P/E 指標上最為低廉。基於此估值差異,Black 表示正加倍買入博通,看好其長期價值。

Future Fund Managing Partner Gary Black is doubling down on one of his favorite stocks in recent weeks, with a call to look at the valuation metrics of the Magnificent Seven stocks and another large technology company, a grouping he calls the "Mag 8."

Future Fund管理合夥人Gary Black近期正加倍押注其最看好的一隻股票,並呼籲關注「輝煌七巨頭」(Magnificent Seven)股票及另一家大型科技公司的估值指標,他將這一組合稱為「輝煌八巨頭」(Mag 8)。

Mag 8 Valuations
輝煌八巨頭估值

A recent drop in Broadcom Inc (NASDAQ:AVGO) shares after quarterly earnings has left the stock trading at a lower valuation than the Magnificent Seven stocks.

博通公司(Broadcom Inc,納斯達克代碼:AVGO)在公佈季度業績後股價近期下跌,使其當前估值低於輝煌七巨頭股票。

Black highlights the discrepancy in a recent social media post and chart. Here are some of the highlights from the chart:

Black在最近的一篇社交媒體帖子和圖表中強調了這一差異。以下是該圖表的一些要點:

STOCKYTD RETURN (AS OF 9/8)2026 P/E2026 PE TO 5-Year EPS GROWTH
NVDA+20.2%25.1x1.1x
GOOGL+5.8%17.7x1.1x
AAPL+16.1%35.4x3.7x
MSFT+1.6%26.5x1.4x
AMZN+9.2%19.9x1.5x
META+6.8%18.9x1.3x
TSLA-17.9%222.2x4.8x
AVGO+5.1%28.0x0.9x


"The cheapest of the Mag 8 on 2026 P/E vs forward long-term eps growth (PEG) is $AVGO at 0.9x," Black tweeted.

「在美股『八大科技股』(Mag 8)中,按2026年市盈率相對於未來長期每股收益增長率(PEG)衡量,最便宜的是$AVGO,爲0.9x,」Black在推文中表示。

For comparison,Tesla Inc(NASDAQ:TSLA) is the most expensive of the eight stocks with a PEG of 4.8x.

相比之下,特斯拉公司(納斯達克代碼:TSLA)是這八隻股票中最貴的,其PEG爲4.8x。

Black highlightsNvidia Corporation(NASDAQ:NVDA) as the best year-to-date performer of the eight stocks, with a low PEG of 1.1.

Black指出,輝達公司(納斯達克代碼:NVDA)是這八隻股票中年初至今表現最佳的,其PEG較低,僅爲1.1。

Tesla, with a high PEG, is the worst-performing Mag 8 stock.

特斯拉因PEG較高,成爲「八大科技股」中表現最差的股票。

Black on Broadcom Stock
看空博通股票

Black recently defended Broadcom stock after shares fell following third-quarter financial results.

Black最近在博通公佈第三季度業績後股價下跌之際爲其股票辯護。

The company's AI-related revenue had Black expecting shares to rebound from the immediate negative reaction.

該公司與AI相關的收入讓Black預計股價將從最初的負面反應中反彈。

"As the AI Rev strength becomes clearer to investors, I expect the stock to recover somewhat," Black tweeted.

Black在推文中表示:「隨着投資者對AI業務強勁勢頭的認識更加清晰,我預計該股將有所回升。」

Black highlighted Broadcom CEOHock Tan, who said AI chip demand is higher than what they can currently ship.

Black重點提到了博通CEO Hock Tan,後者表示人工智能芯片的需求高於他們當前能夠出貨的水平。

Third-quarter AI revenue of $16.7 billion was up 221% year-over-year and beat a Street consensus estimate of $15.9 billion.

第三季度人工智能收入爲$167億,同比增長221%,超出華爾街共識預期的$159億。

Black also highlighted Broadcom's guidance for fourth-quarter AI revenue to be $21.7 billion, which would be up 236% year-over-year. That total is above a Street consensus estimate of $21.3 billion.

Black還強調,博通對第四季度人工智能收入的指引爲$217億,同比增長236%。該數值高於華爾街共識預期的$213億。

For fiscal 2026, Broadcom now sees AI revenue hitting $58 billion, up from a previous guide of $56 billion. That total would be up 186% year over year.

博通目前預計2026財年的人工智能業務收入將達到$580億,高於此前預測的$560億。該總額將同比增長186%。

Broadcom stock closed at $367.24 on Sept. 2, the day of third-quarter earnings. Shares opened at $351.74 the following morning.

9月2日(即第三季度業績發佈當日),博通股價收於$367.24。次日早盤,股價以$351.74開盤。

Over the last week plus, the stock has somewhat recovered, with shares now trading at $361.12, higher than their opening price after earnings, but still lower than where they were before the earnings print.

在過去一周多的時間裏,該股已有所回升,目前股價爲$361.12,高於業績發佈後的開盤價,但仍低於業績發佈前的水平。

Based on earnings forecasts, the stock is cheaper than other Mag 8 names and could still be an option for investors after the post-earnings decline.

根據盈利預測,該股相較於其他「Mag 8」公司股票估值更低,在業績發佈後的下跌之後,對投資者而言可能仍是一個選擇。 (Benzinga)