Alphabet在AI上花費過多了嗎?華爾街在業績發佈後既看到機會也看到風險:「雲業務數據才是最重要的數字」

Alphabet Inc. (NASDAQ:GOOGL) (NASDAQ:GOOG) sparked mixed reactions on Wall Street after its second-quarter earnings, as investors weighed stronger-than-expected cloud growth against a higher AI spending bill and pressure on free cash flow.

Alphabet Inc.(納斯達克:GOOGL)(納斯達克:GOOG)在公佈第二季度業績後引發了華爾街的分歧反應,投資者一方面看好其雲業務增長超出預期,另一方面又擔憂其人工智慧支出增加以及自由現金流承壓。

AI Budget Fuels CapEx Debate
AI預算引發資本支出爭論

InvestorGary BlackofThe Future Fund LLCsaid theGoogleparent company's decision to raise its full-year 2026 capital expenditure guidance to $195 billion to $205 billion could "potentially trigger a new CapEx arms race," as the big technology companies race to expand AI infrastructure.

The Future Fund LLC的投資者Gary Black表示,這家Google母公司將其2026財年全年資本支出指引上調至$1,950億至$2,050億,此舉可能「引發新一輪資本支出軍備競賽」,因為大型科技公司正競相擴大AI基礎設施。

Black said the higher spending reflects Google's effort to expand AI computing capacity and serve growing cloud demand, although the resulting negative free cash flow was fueling investor jitters.

Black表示,更高的支出反映了Google努力擴大AI計算能力以滿足不斷增長的雲需求,但由此產生的負自由現金流正加劇投資者的不安情緒。

$GOOG -3% AH after missing on 2Q non-GAAP earnings and boosting its FY'26 CapExp, potentially triggering a new CapExp arms race. $GOOG now projects a 2026 CapEx range of $195B to $205B, up $15B from its prior guidance, which the company says is necessary to meet the demands of...— Gary Black (@garyblack00) July 23, 2026

$GOOG盤後下跌3%,因其第二季度非GAAP每股收益未達預期,並上調了2026財年資本支出,可能引發新一輪資本支出軍備競賽。$GOOG目前預計2026年資本支出區間為$1,950億至$2,050億,較此前指引上調$150億,公司稱這是滿足……需求所必需的。—— Gary Black (@garyblack00) 2026年7月23日

FormerWedbushanalyst and founder of new merchant bankYorkville Ives,Dan Ivessaid hyperscaler capital spending over the next 12 to 18 months remains the "laser focus" for technology investors.

前Wedbush分析師、新設投行Yorkville Ives創始人Dan Ives表示,未來12到18個月內超大規模雲服務商的資本支出仍是科技投資者的「關注焦點」。

Alphabet and hyperscalers all about the Capex levels into the next 12 to 18 months...laser focus of tech investors @CNBCClosingBell— Dan Ives (@DivesTech) July 22, 2026

Alphabet和超大規模雲服務商未來12到18個月的資本支出水平……是科技投資者的關注焦點 @CNBCClosingBell—— Dan Ives (@DivesTech) 2026年7月22日

Speaking on CNBC, Ives said Google's cloud business has become a "poster child" for enterprise AI adoption and that the company's results "set the tone" for upcoming earnings fromMicrosoft Corp(NASDAQ:MSFT),Amazon.com, Inc(NASDAQ:AMZN) andMeta Platforms Inc(NASDAQ:META).

Ives在CNBC節目中表示,Google的雲業務已成為企業採用AI的「典範」,其業績為即將公佈的微軟(納斯達克:MSFT)、亞馬遜(納斯達克:AMZN)和Meta Platforms Inc(納斯達克:META)的業績「定下基調」。

Cloud Growth Overshadows Search Misses
雲業務增長蓋過搜尋業務未達預期的影響

Deepwater Asset Management'sGene Munstersaid Wall Street was paying too much attention to slight misses in Search growth and operating margins, calling Google Cloud's 82% year-over-year growth "the most important number" in the report.

Deepwater Asset Management的Gene Munster表示,華爾街過於關注搜尋業務增長和運營利潤率的輕微未達標,稱Google Cloud同比增長82%是「報告中最重要的數字」。

"The Cloud number is the most important number, and it was a massive beat," Munster said on X, adding that, based on the results, "the stock should be up tomorrow."

Munster在X上表示:「雲業務數據是最重要的數字,而且大幅超出預期。」並補充道,根據業績結果,「該股明天應該會上漲。」

$GOOG Cloud up 82% y/y vs Street at up 63% and the stock is flat because fractional misses Search and Margins
Search: Street was looking for 17.1% growth, came in at 16.8%.
Operating Margins: Came in at 34.0% vs. Street at 34.5%.
My take: Given what we now know, the stock...— Gene Munster (@munster_gene) July 22, 2026

$GOOG Cloud同比增長82%,而市場預期為增長63%,但股價持平,原因是搜尋業務和利潤率略微未達預期
搜尋業務:市場預期增長17.1%,實際增長16.8%。
運營利潤率:實際為34.0%,而市場預期為34.5%。
我的觀點:鑑於我們目前已知的資訊,該股……— Gene Munster (@munster_gene) 2026年7月22日

Investors See More Evidence That AI Is Paying Off
投資者看到更多證據表明AI已開始帶來回報

Future Equities' StrategistShay Boloorsaid Alphabet is providing "one of the clearest answers yet" to whether hyperscalers are building profitable AI businesses.

Future Equities的策略師Shay Boloor表示,Alphabet正在為「超大規模雲服務商是否正在構建盈利的AI業務」這一問題提供「迄今為止最清晰的答案之一」。

$GOOGL is providing one of the clearest answers yet to whether hyperscalers are building profitable AI businesses or simply spending enormous amounts of money to defend their positions.
Google Cloud grew 82% while producing a nearly 36% operating margin showing that AI... pic.twitter.com/xi1OozjlGV— Shay Boloor (@StockSavvyShay) July 23, 2026

$GOOGL 正在就超大規模雲服務商究竟是正在構建盈利的AI業務,還是僅僅在投入巨額資金以捍衛其市場地位這一問題,給出迄今為止最清晰的答案之一。
Google Cloud 收入增長了82%,同時實現了近36%的營業利潤率,表明AI……pic.twitter.com/xi1OozjlGV——Shay Boloor (@StockSavvyShay) 2026年7月23日

Boloor added that Google's $514 billion cloud backlog and rising customer consumption show "that demand is already translating into insane fundamentals."

Boloor補充稱,Google 的 $5,140億 雲業務積壓訂單和不斷增長的客戶消費表明「需求已經轉化為驚人的基本面。」

$GOOGL Cloud backlog surpasses half a trillion dollars at $514B.
Management also said existing customers are consuming more than 50% above their original commitments while new customer acquisition has more than doubled YoY.
That demand is already translating into insane... pic.twitter.com/EA5BHA22IJ— Shay Boloor (@StockSavvyShay) July 22, 2026

$GOOGL 雲業務積壓訂單超過5000億美元,達到 $5,140億。
管理層還表示,現有客戶的消費量已超過其最初承諾的50%以上,而新客戶獲取量同比增長了一倍以上。
該需求已經轉化為驚人的……pic.twitter.com/EA5BHA22IJ——Shay Boloor (@StockSavvyShay) 2026年7月22日

CNBC'sJim Crameron his show 'Mad Money' called Google Cloud "terrific" but said investors focused on the company's nearly $6 billion in negative free cash flow after earnings.

CNBC 的Jim Cramer在其節目《Mad Money》中稱 Google Cloud 「非常出色」,但指出投資者在業績發佈後關注該公司近 $60億 的負自由現金流。

Earnings Top Wall Street Estimates
盈利超出華爾街預期

Alphabet reported second-quarter revenue of $119.80 billion, topping analyst estimates of $116.82 billion, according to Benzinga Pro.

根據Benzinga Pro的數據,Alphabet第二季度營收為$1,198億,超出分析師預期的$1,168.2億。

Its second-quarter earnings of $9.11 per share beat estimates of $2.87.

其第二季度每股收益為$9.11,高於預期的$2.87。

Price Action:Alphabet Class A stock closed 1.46% lower on Wednesday at $342.09; it fell 3.31% in after-hours trading. The company's Class C stock closed 1.24% lower at $341.91 and fell 2.92% in extended trading.

股價表現:Alphabet A類股票周三收盤下跌1.46%,收於$342.09;盤後交易中又下跌了3.31%。該公司C類股票收盤下跌1.24%,收於$341.91,在延長交易時段下跌了2.92%。

Benzinga edge rankingsindicate that GOOG has a Momentum score in the 87th percentile and a Growth score in the 89th percentile.

Benzinga Edge排名顯示,GOOG的動量評分為第87百分位,增長評分為第89百分位。

(Benzinga)